Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.161921 1.312734 1.477484 1.671107 1.892797 2.139113 2.434111
2025-12-21 0.905882 1.098715 1.326221 1.615537 1.975224 2.409691 2.977272
2025-12-28 0.788335 1.013179 1.295763 1.679499 2.190849 2.854146 3.788378
2026-01-04 0.697129 0.940245 1.262401 1.724855 2.378765 3.280881 4.637966
2026-01-11 0.625220 0.878890 1.230712 1.760744 2.550256 3.700530 5.536048
2026-01-18 0.564236 0.822404 1.195092 1.781092 2.695473 4.094722 6.450483
2026-01-25 0.502406 0.755740 1.134477 1.752836 2.758268 4.365832 7.206259
2026-02-01 0.440151 0.680519 1.051028 1.676298 2.730672 4.483604 7.718102
2026-02-08 0.394199 0.625253 0.991717 1.629678 2.743096 4.664154 8.359084
2026-02-15 0.357190 0.580196 0.943448 1.594532 2.768333 4.866151 9.064332
2026-02-22 0.340966 0.567521 0.946802 1.647411 2.953800 5.376057 10.430108
2026-03-01 0.320968 0.546251 0.932963 1.667352 3.080021 5.790362 11.670616
2026-03-08 0.294456 0.512211 0.895346 1.643172 3.126971 6.072820 12.720506
2026-03-15 0.267432 0.474805 0.848206 1.596082 3.124098 6.257942 13.601149
2026-03-22 0.258372 0.469278 0.858967 1.662388 3.359009 6.969240 15.800159
2026-03-29 0.247447 0.459098 0.859740 1.708576 3.558045 7.634039 18.023829
2026-04-05 0.236269 0.447274 0.855965 1.744653 3.739825 8.288034 20.354373
2026-04-12 0.224379 0.432865 0.845490 1.765028 3.888984 8.889373 22.674632
2026-04-19 0.208773 0.409545 0.814579 1.737141 3.922924 9.220048 24.339146
2026-04-26 0.190189 0.378508 0.764759 1.661386 3.833271 9.231763 25.118051
2026-05-03 0.175978 0.355386 0.729599 1.615233 3.809619 9.407816 26.409565
2026-05-10 0.163991 0.335970 0.700673 1.580432 3.809726 9.646145 27.939537
2026-05-17 0.159949 0.333274 0.708065 1.632803 4.039331 10.537336 31.690086